Polymarket Swings

Equity prediction market swing detection

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Recent Swings

Updated: 4 minutes ago • Threshold: ≥5%
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Market ▼ Δ Prob ▼ Conf ▼ Ticker ▼ Trade Idea Time ▼
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? AGG (5)
↑ +8.4%
79% $QQQ Bitcoin's long-term ascent is tied to the macro risk-on cycle and institutional capital inflow into digital assets, mirroring general growth stock appreciation. 1 hour ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
Bitcoin's long-term ascent is tied to the macro risk-on cycle and institutional capital inflow into digital assets, mirroring general growth stock appreciation.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $880.30
Stop $690.07
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? AGG (2)
↓ -5.5%
69% $SPY The extreme negative swing suggests overpricing of future rate cut uncertainty. A general rebound in global risk appetite or improved Fed commentary (less hawkish) should drive broad index gains, especially for growth sectors. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$SPY
The extreme negative swing suggests overpricing of future rate cut uncertainty. A general rebound in global risk appetite or improved Fed commentary (less hawkish) should drive broad index gains, especially for growth sectors.
Entry $774.16 - $781.94
Target $840.29
Stop $743.04
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13? AGG (6)
↓ -76.0%
46% $QQQ Momentum trade following strong 'risk-on' sentiment in crypto; tech sector often leads digital asset rallies. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
Momentum trade following strong 'risk-on' sentiment in crypto; tech sector often leads digital asset rallies.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $820.62
Stop $712.45
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? AGG (2)
↓ -99.0%
42% $XLE The massive negative swing away from a narrow inflation band suggests heightened macro uncertainty and commodity volatility, favoring a speculative long play on energy cycles. 5 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$XLE
The massive negative swing away from a narrow inflation band suggests heightened macro uncertainty and commodity volatility, favoring a speculative long play on energy cycles.
Entry $66.79 - $67.46
Target $75.52
Stop $63.77
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?
↓ -66.7%
41% $QQQ The sharp decrease in probability suggests excessive bearish sentiment or capitulation on risk assets; a bounce is anticipated on broader tech indices. 12 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
The sharp decrease in probability suggests excessive bearish sentiment or capitulation on risk assets; a bounce is anticipated on broader tech indices.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $839.27
Stop $708.72
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 0% Vol: $510111
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
↑ +5.5%
41% $NVDA Significant decrease in confidence regarding peak IPO valuations suggests cooling AI hype cycles and potential multiple compression among leading AI infrastructure stocks. 2 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
Significant decrease in confidence regarding peak IPO valuations suggests cooling AI hype cycles and potential multiple compression among leading AI infrastructure stocks.
Entry $224.76 - $227.02
Target $207.82
Stop $236.06
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 49% → 52% Vol: $1362613
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13? AGG (3)
↓ -79.0%
41% $QQQ The sharp reversal away from a 'low price' bet indicates strong underlying buying momentum and a failure of bearish resistance, suggesting continued risk-on flow. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
The sharp reversal away from a 'low price' bet indicates strong underlying buying momentum and a failure of bearish resistance, suggesting continued risk-on flow.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $839.27
Stop $708.72
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 13? AGG (2)
↓ -94.4%
41% $QQQ The extreme bearish swing in the prediction market suggests capitulation and potential overreaction related to high-beta crypto assets. A contrarian long setup assumes a technical bounce as generalized risk appetite stabilizes. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
The extreme bearish swing in the prediction market suggests capitulation and potential overreaction related to high-beta crypto assets. A contrarian long setup assumes a technical bounce as generalized risk appetite stabilizes.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $839.27
Stop $708.72
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
↑ +100.0%
41% $NVDA The immense speculative interest in LLMs and AI infrastructure implies sustained demand for compute power. NVDA is the primary beneficiary of this structural, multi-year growth cycle. 6 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
The immense speculative interest in LLMs and AI infrastructure implies sustained demand for compute power. NVDA is the primary beneficiary of this structural, multi-year growth cycle.
Entry $225.30 - $227.56
Target $262.66
Stop $211.71
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 0% Vol: $32123
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?
↑ +200.0%
41% $NVDA Extreme bullish swing implies renewed institutional liquidity and strong risk appetite (risk-on), favoring high-growth tech leaders tied to capital infrastructure. 5 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
Extreme bullish swing implies renewed institutional liquidity and strong risk appetite (risk-on), favoring high-growth tech leaders tied to capital infrastructure.
Entry $225.30 - $227.56
Target $260.39
Stop $215.11
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 0% Vol: $24259
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?
↓ -99.9%
40% $JNJ The dramatic drop indicates extreme market pessimism regarding Q earnings. Betting on continued sell-off due to disappointing corporate performance. 8 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$JNJ
The dramatic drop indicates extreme market pessimism regarding Q earnings. Betting on continued sell-off due to disappointing corporate performance.
Entry $262.69 - $265.33
Target $237.61
Stop $279.85
📈 $JNJ
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 56% → 0% Vol: $7335
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?
↑ +144.4%
40% $XLE Inflationary pressure suggests strong consumer demand and commodity pricing power, boosting energy sector profitability. 20 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$XLE
Inflationary pressure suggests strong consumer demand and commodity pricing power, boosting energy sector profitability.
Entry $66.73 - $67.41
Target $75.45
Stop $63.72
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 1% Vol: $4319
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in September?
↑ +140.0%
40% $XLE High Core CPI signals sustained inflation, increasing demand and pricing power for energy commodities. 1 hour ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$XLE
High Core CPI signals sustained inflation, increasing demand and pricing power for energy commodities.
Entry $65.62 - $66.27
Target $72.54
Stop $62.65
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 1% Vol: $3773
Will XRP reach $1.70 October 12-18?
↑ +144.4%
40% $V Betting on accelerated institutional adoption of cross-border digital payments and increased global transaction volume. 25 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
Speculative
$V
Betting on accelerated institutional adoption of cross-border digital payments and increased global transaction volume.
Entry $391.11 - $395.05
Target $432.39
Stop $369.50
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 4% Vol: $1860
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 13?
↑ +121.6%
40% $SPY The massive swing increase in probability indicates strong, rapidly accumulating bullish sentiment regarding overall US equity market health and institutional confidence. 2 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$SPY
The massive swing increase in probability indicates strong, rapidly accumulating bullish sentiment regarding overall US equity market health and institutional confidence.
Entry $773.80 - $781.58
Target $855.46
Stop $742.69
📈 $SPY
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 3% → 6% Vol: $377
Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
↑ +242.6%
40% $NVDA The significant drop likely represents short-term profit-taking or overextension unrelated to the core demand for AI infrastructure. A fundamental bounce is anticipated. 10 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
The significant drop likely represents short-term profit-taking or overextension unrelated to the core demand for AI infrastructure. A fundamental bounce is anticipated.
Entry $225.30 - $227.56
Target $249.07
Stop $217.37
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 3% → 10% Vol: $367
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?
↓ -99.4%
40% $XLF The near-total collapse in prediction market sentiment suggests panic selling and overreaction concerning bank health. We are anticipating a sharp mean reversion bounce from established financial sector indices. 6 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
Speculative
$XLF
The near-total collapse in prediction market sentiment suggests panic selling and overreaction concerning bank health. We are anticipating a sharp mean reversion bounce from established financial sector indices.
Entry $54.77 - $55.32
Target $59.45
Stop $52.84
📈 $WFC
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 87% → 0% Vol: $4159
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 12? AGG (2)
↓ -91.2%
39% $SPY Extreme negative volatility resulting in premium collapse suggests temporary oversold conditions and potential mean reversion toward underlying market strength. 23 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$SPY
Extreme negative volatility resulting in premium collapse suggests temporary oversold conditions and potential mean reversion toward underlying market strength.
Entry $774.14 - $781.92
Target $840.27
Stop $746.91
📈 $SPY
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 13?
↓ -96.8%
39% $QQQ The collapse of crypto price probability suggests extreme risk aversion and liquidity pullback, bearishly impacting high-growth technology sectors represented by the Nasdaq 100. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
The collapse of crypto price probability suggests extreme risk aversion and liquidity pullback, bearishly impacting high-growth technology sectors represented by the Nasdaq 100.
Entry $738.54 - $745.96
Target $682.87
Stop $775.65
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 0% Vol: $778
Will XRP reach $1.45 on October 12?
↓ -96.8%
39% $NVDA Strong upward crypto momentum spilling over into high-beta, AI-driven tech stocks. 15 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
Strong upward crypto momentum spilling over into high-beta, AI-driven tech stocks.
Entry $225.30 - $227.56
Target $249.07
Stop $216.24
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 0% Vol: $573
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 13?
↓ -96.7%
39% $QQQ The sharp reversal indicates extreme short-term bearish sentiment/profit-taking within high-beta tech assets, suggesting continued downward momentum following the failure of the targeted range. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
Speculative
$QQQ
The sharp reversal indicates extreme short-term bearish sentiment/profit-taking within high-beta tech assets, suggesting continued downward momentum following the failure of the targeted range.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $686.34
Stop $779.59
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 0% Vol: $1287
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 13?
↓ -96.4%
39% $QQQ Strong speculative momentum driven by crypto-related risk-on sentiment spilling over into high-growth technology stocks (Nasdaq 100). 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
Strong speculative momentum driven by crypto-related risk-on sentiment spilling over into high-growth technology stocks (Nasdaq 100).
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $857.92
Stop $701.26
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 1% → 0% Vol: $600
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
↓ -92.3%
37% $JPM The dramatic price swing suggests overreaction selling following negative earnings reports. A short-term mean reversion trade is warranted against the immediate panic sell-off. 8 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$JPM
The dramatic price swing suggests overreaction selling following negative earnings reports. A short-term mean reversion trade is warranted against the immediate panic sell-off.
Entry $332.82 - $336.16
Target $307.73
Stop $349.54
📈 $JPM
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 1% → 0% Vol: $14198
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 19?
↑ +90.0%
36% $SPY A moderate directional increase in XRP suggests underlying market recovery and generalized institutional risk appetite, best captured by the broad index. 25 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$SPY
A moderate directional increase in XRP suggests underlying market recovery and generalized institutional risk appetite, best captured by the broad index.
Entry $774.16 - $781.94
Target $840.29
Stop $746.93
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 5% Vol: $750
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.8B?
↓ -88.8%
36% $JNJ Contrarian reversal trade betting that the severe probability collapse has oversold JNJ due to general market panic, relying on its defensive pharmaceutical sector positioning. 7 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$JNJ
Contrarian reversal trade betting that the severe probability collapse has oversold JNJ due to general market panic, relying on its defensive pharmaceutical sector positioning.
Entry $262.69 - $265.33
Target $290.41
Stop $250.81
📈 $JNJ
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 4% → 0% Vol: $1133
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
↓ -6.0%
34% $BABA Chinese regulatory risk remains elevated for crypto and fintech sectors, suggesting continued weakness for companies heavily exposed to Mainland China's capital controls. 7 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$BABA
Chinese regulatory risk remains elevated for crypto and fintech sectors, suggesting continued weakness for companies heavily exposed to Mainland China's capital controls.
Entry $110.29 - $111.40
Target $101.98
Stop $115.83
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 2% Vol: $1112751
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?
↓ -75.0%
34% $NVDA The short-term bounce potential in Bitcoin indicates a renewed risk appetite flow into high-growth computing infrastructure, benefiting AI hardware leaders. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
The short-term bounce potential in Bitcoin indicates a renewed risk appetite flow into high-growth computing infrastructure, benefiting AI hardware leaders.
Entry $225.30 - $227.56
Target $249.07
Stop $216.24
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 0% Vol: $126371
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 13?
↑ +82.4%
33% $QQQ The aggressive swing despite low volume suggests a highly anticipated short-term technical breakout driven by spot inflow signals and positive macro news. 30 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
Speculative
$QQQ
The aggressive swing despite low volume suggests a highly anticipated short-term technical breakout driven by spot inflow signals and positive macro news.
Entry $742.29 - $749.75
Target $820.62
Stop $712.45
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 1% → 2% Vol: $7423
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? AGG (2)
↑ +2.9%
32% $NVDA Increased crypto adoption and Web3 narratives confirm deep structural capital spending on data centers and AI compute power. 55 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
Increased crypto adoption and Web3 narratives confirm deep structural capital spending on data centers and AI compute power.
Entry $225.63 - $227.89
Target $260.77
Stop $209.75
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13? AGG (2)
↓ -66.7%
31% $QQQ Strong crypto bullishness often correlates with heightened risk appetite, driving momentum into general high-growth technology sectors. 3 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$QQQ
Strong crypto bullishness often correlates with heightened risk appetite, driving momentum into general high-growth technology sectors.
Entry $742.27 - $749.73
Target $857.90
Stop $701.24
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 13?
↓ -75.0%
30% $NVDA The bearish conviction in crypto suggests a potential capitulation wave. We anticipate a 'risk-on' flow rebound, driven by improving macro sentiment or liquidity injections, favoring high-beta, high-growth semiconductor leaders. 1 hour ago
Trade Blueprint
Speculative
$NVDA
The bearish conviction in crypto suggests a potential capitulation wave. We anticipate a 'risk-on' flow rebound, driven by improving macro sentiment or liquidity injections, favoring high-beta, high-growth semiconductor leaders.
Entry $225.84 - $228.11
Target $254.21
Stop $214.49
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 0% → 0% Vol: $2408
Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call?
↑ +74.6%
30% $MCD The upward swing betting on consumer commentary suggests improved discretionary spending and stable demand in the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) sector, benefiting McDonald's. 4 hours ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$MCD
The upward swing betting on consumer commentary suggests improved discretionary spending and stable demand in the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) sector, benefiting McDonald's.
Entry $235.07 - $237.43
Target $259.88
Stop $225.62
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 57% → 100% Vol: $762
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
↓ -46.9%
27% $NVDA AI supremacy is driven by foundational compute infrastructure, making $NVDA the primary beneficiary regardless of which company wins the 'best model' narrative by 2026. 15 minutes ago
Trade Blueprint
High
$NVDA
AI supremacy is driven by foundational compute infrastructure, making $NVDA the primary beneficiary regardless of which company wins the 'best model' narrative by 2026.
Entry $225.30 - $227.56
Target $260.39
Stop $212.84
🤖 gemma4:e4b
Shift: 2% → 1% Vol: $289745